It’s mid-January; time to take stock. How is our model doing vs. real life? As of January 18: Total trades: 36 Total trades accepted by our model: 30 Acceptance rate: 83.3% Variance: +/- 4.2 Basically, the model has been right five out of every six...
Recently, on an episode of MLB Tonight, John Smoltz was asked to compare the difference between signing Josh Donaldson or trading for . His response was, to paraphrase: Donaldson doesn’t cost anything...
Recent reports suggest the Rockies are seriously entertaining the idea of trading Nolan Arenado [27.7], who is of course their franchise player and one of the best in baseball. Setting aside the issue of why, let’s break down how we’ve arrived at our...
Here at BTV, we sometimes find ourselves going against the grain when it comes to popular opinion. We seemed to be the only ones who thought , , and...
Earlier, John Bitzer broke down each of the major trades and free agent signings from the 2019 Winter Meetings. Now we'll take a look at how teams did in the final event of the meetings - the Rule 5 Draft. First, two caveats: we're sometimes playing...
Update: Corey Kluber was traded to Texas on 12/15/19 for Delino DeShields and Emmanuel Clase, a package that totals $9.7M in value. The trade was accepted by our system as an overpay, but within the bounds of acceptability. Many observers felt like...