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Astros & Mets

August 1, 2023

Astros

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Verlander 40 Majors SP Very low 1.4 48.1 59.1 -11 -13.2 -11 -8.8
Cash Minors 35

Mets

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Clifford 20 Minors OF 7.8 6.3 7.8 9.4
Gilbert 22 Minors OF 13.1 10.5 13.1 15.8
3 Comments
  1. John Bitzer

    Real trade. Note that we are assuming the 2025 option for $35M (which is contingent on Verlander pitching 140 innings in 2024 and staying healthy) does not vest in this calculation.

    If the option does vest, our model calculates his value at -33.8. In that instance, the Mets have agreed to kick in additional $17.5M, bringing the total money sent to $52.5M.

    Either way, the deal comes out fair.

  2. Corbin Graham

    As a Mets fan, I absolutely hate this trade. I’d rather keep Verlander and have a pitching staff. This trade really suggests a lot of losing in the next season or two. And as far as Ohtani goes, I see no reason why he would want to come play for the Mets this offseason unless they overpay him greatly. Otherwise we’re looking at west coast angels losing situation.

    • Jaime Hernandez

      If I’m the mets I look into flipping a group of prospects this off season for a reliable SP with a couple years of control. Potentially a 3 starter and then go and get a top of the line starter like Snell, Urias, or Nola. With Senga to round up their 1-2-3 in their rotation.

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