Notes on Our Valuations

A deeper dive on why we update often; the Soto contract; prospect values; and comp picks.

The BTV Podcast #108: Those Crazy Dodgers Contracts

We break down the details...

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The A's Intriguing Strategy for the Trade Market

They'll be players, but not the way you think.

Featured Trades

Red Sox GET

Garrett Crochet

53.4

Total Value

53.4

White Sox GET

Chase Meidroth

6.6

Kyle Teel

32

Wikelman Gonzalez

2.8

Braden Montgomery

15.2

Total Value

56.6

Slimecave

Marlins GET

Maximo Acosta

2.4

Echedry Vargas

7.3

Total Value

9.7

Rangers GET

Jake Burger

11

Total Value

11

Deathstarchris88

Guardians GET

Luis Ortiz

13.6

Michael Kennedy

2.3

Josh Hartle

2.3

Total Value

18.2

Pirates GET

Spencer Horwitz

28

Total Value

28

johnbitzer

Blue Jays GET

Andres Gimenez

-33.6

Nick Sandlin

-1.6

Total Value

-35.2

Guardians GET

Spencer Horwitz

28

Total Value

28

allStar

NEWSLETTER? SURE, SIGN ME UP!

johnbitzer

0

We recently updated the values on our site, which is normal for us around this time of year. The purpose is to correlate to the market, using free agent contracts as a kind of going rate for our dollars-per-projected-WAR calculations. If the first batch of free agents is skewing high, it may be an indication that our initial assumptions were low on that basis. Why is that? Most of it is inflation. We assume a 3% inflation rate, which is the long-term average. However, as you probably know,...

johnbitzer

0

On Dec. 30, 2023, the Red Sox traded Chris Sale to the Braves for Vaughn Grissom, and sent $17M to cover Sale’s salary to boot. Here’s what that trade looked like in our model at the time:     So it was accepted by our model, albeit as a major overpay by Atlanta. --------- Fast-forward one year: Sale has won the Cy Young Award, after producing 6.4 fWAR in a remarkable comeback season. Grissom has struggled badly, producing -0.7 fWAR. So from today’s perspective,...

Epsiode 108

108 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the Jonathan India/Brady Singer trade, Blake Snell to the Dodgers, Yusei Kikuchi to the Angels and more offseason news. Then, they discuss the non-tender deadline and offseason outlooks of the Dodgers and the New York Yankees. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...

Epsiode 107

92 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the conclusion of the Yankees/Gerrit Cole saga, a run of moves by the Angels, upcoming Qualifying Offer decisions and more offseason news. Then, they discuss the offseason outlooks of the Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...

Epsiode 106

112 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the Yankees impending decision with Gerrit Cole's opt-out and a few early offseason moves by the Braves. Then, they discuss the offseason outlooks of the teams eliminated in the Division Series. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...