Tracking real-life trades, or: BTV vs. A.J.
How is our model tracking relative to actual trades so far this offseason? Just fine. But if you treat one GM as an outlier? Even better.
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Got a trade proposal?
Imagine you’re the GM of your favorite team. Who are you trading this offseason? Use our popular trade simulator to figure out a fair deal.
Why do so many aging center fielders lose value?
Kevin Kiermaier, A.J. Pollock, and Charlie Blackmon are all in the red.
Which farm system has the most trade value? And the least?
Some systems are stacked with talent; others not so much. And you might be surprised to see who’s creeping up.
The Bottom 50
Which players have the most underwater contracts in baseball? Click on our Highest/Lowest list, then flip the arrows to see the worst ones.
Scoping the return on a Kris Bryant trade
Should the Cubs trade their former MVP? And what would he bring in return?
Calculating values for major-leaguers
Calculating values for minor-leaguers
Applying our values to real-life trades
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December 9, 2019
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Articles
Tracking real-life trades, or: BTV vs. A.J.
by johnbitzer | 12/06/19 | 2 Comments
In the interest of transparency, it’s time for an update on how the BTV model is doing this offseason relative to real-life trades -- with one caveat: A.J. Preller. Our model assumes most GMs will act rationally, and seek to get the best overall...
Making sense of the Padres/Brewers trade
by johnbitzer | 11/28/19 | 2 Comments
When the Padres and Brewers agreed on a trade recently, my first thought was: that’s ridiculous. The package the Brewers received from San Diego far exceeded any reasonable bounds of a fair trade. We had Luis Urias at 55.2, and Trent Grisham at 8.8...
Explaining the value decline of aging center fielders
by Joshua Iversen | 11/23/19 | 0 Comments
Center fielders don't seem to age well, especially those who derive a significant amount of their production from their gloves. And yet is still a capable major league player for the Tampa Bay Rays. So...
Hey, why did that number change?
by johnbitzer | 11/13/19 | 4 Comments
So you may have noticed that every now and then, a player’s valuation has changed on this site. You might be wondering, “Why?” or “Hey, does that mean I have to go back and redo that trade idea I had last week?” Or: “Is this arbitrary, or is there a...
Scoping the return for a Kris Bryant trade
by guest | 11/09/19 | 2 Comments
This is a guest article by BTV user and Cubs fan rw64 After a second straight year of playoff disappointment, major changes loom large on the North Side of Chicago. While the Cubs still have intentions of being competitive in 2020, President of...
Ranking each farm system by trade value
by johnbitzer | 10/28/19 | 2 Comments
If you’re a serious baseball fan, you’ve probably seen a few farm system rankings from major outlets like Baseball America and Fangraphs. Here at BTV, we use our valuation estimates to do similar lists – to rank each system by trade value. It’s a way...