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January trade tracker update; ranking the Big Four
It’s mid-January; time to take stock. How is our model doing vs. real life? As of January 18: Total trades: 36 Total trades accepted by our model: 30 Acceptance rate: 83.3% Variance: +/- 4.2 Basically, the model has been right five out of every six...
Why it’s important to follow the money
Recently, on an episode of MLB Tonight, John Smoltz was asked to compare the difference between signing Josh Donaldson or trading for . His response was, to paraphrase: Donaldson doesn’t cost anything...
The trickiness of Nolan Arenado’s trade value
Recent reports suggest the Rockies are seriously entertaining the idea of trading Nolan Arenado [27.7], who is of course their franchise player and one of the best in baseball. Setting aside the issue of why, let’s break down how we’ve arrived at our...
Why we’re high on Mookie Betts’ trade value
Here at BTV, we sometimes find ourselves going against the grain when it comes to popular opinion. We seemed to be the only ones who thought , , and...
What if we slashed the A’s payroll?
Editor's note: This is a guest article written by BTV regular and A's fan grover “What if…?” Asking that is a good way to start thinking about alternatives. Because as often as we know how things are going to go… sometimes things happen. We rudely...
Valuing the Rule 5 draft picks
Earlier, John Bitzer broke down each of the major trades and free agent signings from the 2019 Winter Meetings. Now we'll take a look at how teams did in the final event of the meetings - the Rule 5 Draft. First, two caveats: we're sometimes playing...