With his salary rising and his control waning, it seems almost certain that the Indians will trade their star shorstop this winter. What’s his value, and what’s a reasonable return?

Imagine you’re the GM of your favorite team. Who are you trading this upcoming offseason? Use our popular trade simulator to figure out a fair deal.

And for that reason, he’s unlikely to be traded — or opt out.

In this episode, we go deep into how our model got so many trades right (and only one wrong), including the two biggest ones.

Our system nailed two big trades, matched up well on almost all the others, and missed one. Take a look at how we think it all played out.