Former Top Prospects Who Now Look Like Busts

2024 edition

New Values Are Updated, New Pro Tier Is Live

All player values have been updated -- subscribe for access.

The BTV Podcast #99: Which Hot (or Cold) Starts Are Sustainable?

How long can Salvador Perez keep this up?

Check out our ad-free options

We've added two new subscription tiers, with lots of new features.

Featured Trades

Orioles GET

Mason Miller

50.5

Total Value

50.5

Athletics GET

Coby Mayo

44.1

Enrique Bradfield

8.9

Total Value

53

kellyleak76

Guardians GET

Heston Kjerstad

25.1

Total Value

25.1

Orioles GET

Estevan Florial

5.5

Logan T. Allen

20.5

Total Value

26

kzeke

Astros GET

Oswald Peraza

3.6

Henry Lalane

5.7

Total Value

9.3

Yankees GET

Alex Bregman

3.5

Cash

6

Total Value

9.5

Ms. Dajuba

Marlins GET

Jakob Marsee

5.7

Nathan Martorella

4.2

Dillon Head

8.9

Woo-Suk Go

0.7

Total Value

19.5

Padres GET

Luis Arraez

5.3

Cash

7.9

Total Value

13.2

johnbitzer

NEWSLETTER? SURE, SIGN ME UP!

Shawn Bergeron

0

Back in 2022, John Bitzer wrote an article about former top prospects who now look like busts. It’s time for a refresh.  In that piece, John posited that, based on the actions of front offices around the league, prospects have about a two-year window, on average, to prove their worth before their club -- or the league as a whole -- moves on. The amount of time or number of chances a team is willing to give varies from player to player, but the point remains: players need to prove...

Ethan Pechersky

0

Billy Beane once famously referenced Branch Rickey when he said, “It’s better to make a trade a year too early than a year too late.” The notion is that, if you wait too long, you’ll miss the ideal window for trading a veteran MLB player for prospects that are good enough to restock your farm. One example of a team that failed to heed this advice was the Phillies, circa 2011. And their story may have implications for a team in a similar boat today – like the...

Epsiode 99

101 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) discuss an upcoming change to the BTV website and new subscription tier. Then, they break down recent transactions and injuries, the best and worst performers in April and much more. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...

Epsiode 98

97 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the recent plague of pitcher injuries, including those to Shane Bieber, Spencer Strider and Eury Perez. Then, they discuss Jordan Montgomery to the Diamondbacks, the BTV free agent model's performance this offseason, other minor early-season trades and transactions and much more. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast...

Epsiode 97

104 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the Dylan Cease trade to the Padres and recap the model's performance on trades this offseason. Then, they discuss Blake Snell to the Giants, Santiago Espinal to the Reds and a handful of other late-spring transactions. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...