The BTV Podcast, Episode 56: The Fun Begins



Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down pre-deadline trades, including Luis Castillo and Andrew Benintendi. Then, they discuss other news and rumors and give their last predictions before the deadline.

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Woo: Should the Cardinals trade for Juan Soto? Breaking down the reasons for — and against — it ($)

About the Author

Joshua Iversen

Joshua Iversen

Associate Editor of
  1. Lenin Cat

    Another fun listen. I particularly enjoyed the dig at the Guardians fans on the site.

  2. Lenin Cat

    One follow up question: I was a bit confused about how you’re accounting for QO. You mentioned using a probabilistic model in the past to quantify the likelihood of a QO being accepted. Is this still used? What’s the estimated value of a comp pick? $8m?

    • John Bitzer

      It’s only used for trade candidates who could be QO’d instead of traded. Quantifying the value of the draft pick is tricky, because it depends on the team that signs the player post-QO decline. It ranges from $9M on the high end (end of first round, position player, in a deep draft) to about $2M on the low end (end of second round). We usually split the difference, and use that as a baseline to compare whether a team would be better off issuing a QO or trading the player. If there’s more surplus value than the average value of the draft pick, it makes more sense to trade them.

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