Red Sox & Diamondbacks
Submitted by: AlexC91
Red Sox
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 32 | Majors | 2B | DH | Low | 5 | 146.8 | 80.2 | 66.6 | 53.3 | 66.6 | 79.9 |
Total Value:
66.6
Diamondbacks
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 26 | Majors | 1B | Low | 3 | 22 | 8.5 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 13.5 | 16.2 | |
| Kutter Crawford | 30 | Majors | LRP | Medium | 3 | 35 | 13.1 | 22 | 17.6 | 22 | 26.4 | |
| Wilyer Abreu | 27 | Majors | OF | 4 | 53.9 | 27.7 | 26.2 | 21 | 26.2 | 31.4 | ||
| Yhoiker Fajardo | 19 | Minors | SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.7 |
Total Value:
66.5
Comments
3
💁🏼♀️ Ketel Marte signed a contract extension with Arizona on Apr 02, 2025 with a 5-team (I wonder who) no-trade list (he earns full no-trade protection starting mid-April 2026 via 10-and-5 rights). Why would the Diamondbacks shop him less then a year after extending him? They’d probably like to get him moved before he gets his full trade rights in April. Marte is owed $15m (plus an additional $1m he earned from plate appearance incentives in ‘25) for a total of $16m for the ‘26 season. Then he’s owed $12m, $20m, $22m, $22m and then he has a player option for $11.5m (which seems to me like an easy decision for him at age 37. But I’ve been told he will be worth more and decline his option and re enter free agency for a bigger deal). And he can easily earn an additional $1m per year (and as much as an additional $2.5m) with his plate appearance incentives which are; 500: $500k (earned 2025), 550: $500k (earned 2025), 600: $750k, 625: $750k. So he’s most probably realistically owed $96m over the next 5yrs to play 2B through age 36 with $5m in salary deferred yearly. If Breslow attempts to trade for Marte I hope Ownership steps in and nixes it. I will continue to believe that this front office knows better. I just can’t see the Red Sox trading away assets to take on this salary for a 2B. 👎
NEWSLETTER? SURE, SIGN ME UP!
If he was a Free Agent today, we'd be talking him getting the same type of deal as Bregman with an AAV near $30 Mill. I don't care if he starts to decline in 2-3 years because if he gives you even 8-9 WAR over 5 years, he's worth the approx $96 Mill contract. And for context, he's projected to be 4.8 WAR player this year. It's an impact bat that instantly transforms the lineup, with or without Bregman coming back.
There isn’t a team in MLB that should be paying a 2B anything close to a $20m aav unless he is an aging superstar already on the team and is moving over from a different position. I do not view Marte in that superstar light, and don’t believe for a second that front offices do as well. This is where analytics misses and the team has to stand strong. If he were currently a free agent I think he’d be struggling to find a 3yr guaranteed $50m deal ($15m per $3m signing bonus) with a 4th year team option (for $15m or a $2m buyout). I’m sure he’d be looking for a 6 or 7 year deal but his age would keep the years down and he would accept the deal with less years and the higher aav (maybe some team would step up and give him 2yrs for 36m with a $2m signing bonus), but even that seems unlikely because of the looming work stoppage for ‘27. He’s a great defender and a really good bat but father time waits for no one. Front offices and especially ownership understand this better then most. Plus, he’s just a 2B. The Diamondbacks know they screwed up last April and are now trying to move his salary before it’s to late and they are stuck with him through the ‘31 season. And let’s not forget about clubhouse chemistry. Besides Devers, The Sox haven’t paid or bought a multi-year contract that would take a position player past the age of 34 since 2018. They’re not going to start with taking Ketel Marte to 37yrs. Red Sox are not trading for Marte.