Braves & Twins

Submitted by: Aceofks

Braves

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Pablo Lopez30MajorsSPMedium216.443-26.6-31.9-26.6-21.3
Joe Ryan30MajorsSPLow267.115.451.741.451.762.1

Total Value:

25.1

Twins

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
JR Ritchie23MinorsSP00014.511.614.517.4
Alex Lodise22MinorsSS00010.78.610.712.9

Total Value:

25.2

Aceofks

Question - Joe Ryan seems to have a pretty high surplus for someone on the last year of his deal. I know there is a mutual option for 2027, but those are extremely rare to be executed - something like less than 5% are ever executed, and the last one was in 2014 - so does a mutual option weigh the same as a team option for his value, as noted in the "valuing major leaguers" section of the site? If so, that should be revised - I'd argue the models should count a mutual option as becoming an UFA given the rarity of mutual options working out (maybe this is how it is already handled).

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