I believe Woodruff is way underrated on this site. This would be selling at a low point for a TOR starter. Duran would struggle to make the Brewers’ roster. No thanks. The Brewers are loaded with 2B/SS and Yorke is only hitting .232/.303 at A+. Romero is too far away and hard to evaluate. Gonzalez is in A and also too far away to help. There is absolutely nothing here for the Brewers. This would make them far worse.

johnbitzerJohn Bitzer
on October 1, 2022 at 10:09 pm

Our field value estimate for Woodruff is roughly at $30M/year AAV. That seems fair. He’s going to make a lot of money in his last two years of arbitration (we estimate his combined salary at $27.2M as you can see above), which causes his surplus value to be reduced. It’s just math.

aautry169Anthony Autry
on October 2, 2022 at 4:53 am

john, I don’t understand your answer. For instance. you have Glasnow who hasn’t pitched for over a year and is going to make a lot of money in his last two years (over $30M) and you have him rated higher at a 37.1.

johnbitzerJohn Bitzer
on October 2, 2022 at 11:56 am

Glasnow projects to be slightly better than Woodruff, based on expected stats we use. Other than that, the math is the same. As a reminder the numbers aren’t “ratings”; they are based on surplus value. Here’s a refresher on the difference between field value and surplus value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers/

I believe Woodruff is way underrated on this site. This would be selling at a low point for a TOR starter. Duran would struggle to make the Brewers’ roster. No thanks. The Brewers are loaded with 2B/SS and Yorke is only hitting .232/.303 at A+. Romero is too far away and hard to evaluate. Gonzalez is in A and also too far away to help. There is absolutely nothing here for the Brewers. This would make them far worse.

Our field value estimate for Woodruff is roughly at $30M/year AAV. That seems fair. He’s going to make a lot of money in his last two years of arbitration (we estimate his combined salary at $27.2M as you can see above), which causes his surplus value to be reduced. It’s just math.

john, I don’t understand your answer. For instance. you have Glasnow who hasn’t pitched for over a year and is going to make a lot of money in his last two years (over $30M) and you have him rated higher at a 37.1.

Glasnow projects to be slightly better than Woodruff, based on expected stats we use. Other than that, the math is the same. As a reminder the numbers aren’t “ratings”; they are based on surplus value. Here’s a refresher on the difference between field value and surplus value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers/