Submitted by: Hammertime510
January 25, 2023
Rays
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availablility | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown | 29 | Majors | OF | 1B | Medium | 4 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| Kaprielian | 28 | Majors | SP | RHRP | Low | 4 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Back
I think you’re trying to pick the Rays’ pocket with this trade. First, Kap is a fine 5th starter but the Rays have no need for a 5th starter. Their rotation is set. Second, Brown hits RHP well but he doesn’t field well or hit LHP well. In short, he’s not an everyday player. So, while the Rays may pay $10MM in trade value for him, it’s unlikely they’ll want to give up some of their best prospects (dollar for dollar) for him. This trade simply has too much quality. I think Auer is too good a prospect to give up in a 1:1 trade for Brown. He could be that elusive top defender in CF who also hits well. As we’ve previously discussed, Sasaki destroyed A ball last year (both in the field and at the plate) and if he does the same in 2023 in A+ and AA his value is gonna soar. Rays (fans) are excited about him. Then there is White, a reliever (a reliever!) so good the Rays protected him from Rule 5 even though he’s not expected back from TJS til midseason. There is simply no way the Rays are trading him at a $2 MM valuation.
I agree that Kap + Brown for Auer and Friends doesn’t make sense for the Rays.