Rangers & Padres




Rangers & Padres

November 10, 2019


Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Hunt Minors C 2 1.6 2 2.4
Lucchesi 26 Majors SP Medium 4.0 54.2 24.0 30.2 24.8 30.2 35.6


Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Hernandez Minors RHP 1 0.8 1 1.2
Mazara 24 Majors OF Medium 2.0 1.6 5.7 -4.1 0 0 0
Cash Array 30
  1. John Bitzer

    This is an illustration of a trade proposed by two writers on The Athletic. They seriously misjudge the values of Lucchesi and Mazara, and several commenters noted that. Texas would have to include at least $30M in extra value to make it work, most of which represents the gap between Lucchesi and Mazara.

    • Matthew Tobin

      Not to mention I’m not sure why the Padres would trade a solid pitcher for a corner outfielder when they already have Myers and Renfroe penciled in…..

      I played around with an idea of sending Odor and Mazara to Cleveland(to fill their holes at 2B and OF), but couldn’t see Texas sending $25M to rid themselves of 2 players.

      I will note, the site is VERY bearish on Carlos Carrasco. Both Steamer and PECOTA have him projected as a 3+ WAR pitcher in 2020. He is only owed 3/$34M, so a 3 WAR season would be worth 70+% of the contract. Despite missing time with Leukemia, he STILL put up 1 fWAR in 80IP.

      • John Bitzer

        Thanks for the feedback. Carrasco is a very tricky case, because the risk is off the charts. That’s the component that typically gets underplayed. IF he’s healthy, yes, he’s a good pitcher. He had plenty of surplus before the diagnosis and missed time.

        But the flip side of guaranteed money is that if he’s not healthy, or if he’s only marginally playable, you’re stuck with a sunk cost. And leukemia is a very serious condition, obviously. We’re willing to take another look, but any team theoretically trading for him is taking on that risk, and common sense tells us they’d be very hesitant to do so.

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