mudcat14Scott Miller
on January 5, 2020 at 6:24 am
Thanks for the link, johnbitzer. Regardless of whether the Twins would make the offer and take the salary risk, realistically don’t you agree it would take a package similar to what I suggested to pry Arenado alone, away from the Rockies?
johnbitzerJohn Bitzer
on January 5, 2020 at 11:57 am
No. Otherwise we would amp up his number. Although he’s an elite player, who any team would love to have, he’s already being paid market value, and if you add the dual risks of contract length and his two-year opt-out, we think it should discourage any team from giving up too much prospect capital over and above that (most fans tend to underestimate the salary and contract aspects). It’s been reported that the Rockies would be open to including cash in the deal to improve the return, which makes perfect sense to me, and seems like the more likely scenario.
I would actually offer the four Twins prospects for Arenado alone, but the simulator claims that is too one-sided and wouldn’t let me post it.
Here’s an explanation of why that is: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/the-trickiness-of-nolan-arenados-trade-value/
Thanks for the link, johnbitzer. Regardless of whether the Twins would make the offer and take the salary risk, realistically don’t you agree it would take a package similar to what I suggested to pry Arenado alone, away from the Rockies?
No. Otherwise we would amp up his number. Although he’s an elite player, who any team would love to have, he’s already being paid market value, and if you add the dual risks of contract length and his two-year opt-out, we think it should discourage any team from giving up too much prospect capital over and above that (most fans tend to underestimate the salary and contract aspects). It’s been reported that the Rockies would be open to including cash in the deal to improve the return, which makes perfect sense to me, and seems like the more likely scenario.