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Braves & Mariners & Tigers

January 7, 2020

Braves

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Lewis Minors OF 7.5 6 7.5 9
McGovern Minors OF 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8
Tuivailala 26 Majors RHRP Medium 3.0 7.2 4.5 2.7 1.9 2.7 3.4

Mariners

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Cameron Minors OF 11.9 9.5 11.9 14.3
Dean Minors OF 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.8
Minter 25 Majors LHRP Medium 4.0 2.6 0.5 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.4
Reyes Minors 3B 1.9 1.5 1.9 2.3
Skubal Minors LHP 26.8 21.4 26.8 32.2
Zimmermann 33 Majors SP High 1.0 2.3 25.0 -22.7 -24.7 -22.7 -20.7
Cash 10

Tigers

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Altavilla 26 Majors RHRP Medium 4.0 4.5 2.6 1.9 0.9 1.9 2.9
Brennan 27 Majors RHRP Medium 5.0 12.3 7.7 4.6 3.4 4.6 5.8
Camargo 25 Majors 3B 2B Medium 4.0 11.4 4.3 7.1 5.1 7.1 9.1
Fraley Minors OF 2.4 1.9 2.4 2.9
Long 23 Majors 2B Medium 6.0 16.5 6.4 10.1 8.4 10.1 11.7
Thompson-Williams Minors OF 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.7
4 Comments
  1. Kurt Eger

    Tarik Skubal went to school in Seattle, so he would probably like to return to the area. This would make him an ideal target for a pre-debut extension. Daz Cameron would return to where his dad is a beloved icon of the last great Mariners teams. Zimmermann eats innings for the Mariners rotation, while Minter slides into the closers role and his value improves or gets optioned to the minors to work on issues. Dean becomes a pinch runner and 4th outfielder in all likelihood, but still holds the promise of more depending on how his development continues going forward.

    The Tigers do this trade because it dumps $15M in salary cost for the year for Cameron and Reyes, which on the surface seems like a lot of future talent, but Reyes is all projection right now and is a few years away, Cameron looks like he’ll need a couple years of seasoning to improve his hitting contact, which means he will end up being a potential roster crunch victim for the Tigers in the future.

    Skubal is surrounded by lots of potential rotation arms ahead and behind him in the team prospect rankings, but the Tigers get Camargo (1 year removed from a 3.5 WAR season), Long (projects to 2+ WAR/season), and a couple of hard throwing relievers. A more polished OF option (Fraley), and an outfielder who with a decent step forward in 2020 could put himself back on a path similar to Daz Cameron.

    The Braves do this for the highly regarded corner outfield prospect Kyle Lewis, who along with McGovern are from the state of Atlanta. Bringing back home grown talent for the sake of trying to get a discount on future contracts seems important to Atlanta. This also allows Riley to move back to his more natural position of 3B. McGovern could grow into a Markakis type clone in a few years and Tuivailala adds a hard throwing righty to their bullpen.

    Most important for the Braves is that the are trading a reliever who projects to start in AAA, a utility infielder, and a 4th outfielder for a 1st round pick coming off a big debut and who plays a position of need, a reliever with a stronger track record in 2019 and who currently appears capable of making the opening day roster (unlike Minter), and potential 4th outfielder (McGovern) to replace the OF prospect going to the Mariners (Dean).

  2. John Bitzer

    I’m having a hard time seeing this one from the Tigers’ perspective. I would think that the last thing they’d want to do is trade a top prospect during a rebuild. And at this point they’ve accepted that they can ride out Zimmermann’s contract. So maybe if you took out Skubal and Zimmermann?

    • Michael Mayer

      You are correct. Detroit is not getting anything out of this to help build their team up for the future. There’s nothing they can do at this time with the savings from moving Zimmerman.

  3. Matt Rowland

    The only way the Tigers trade away a top prospect like Skubal would be to get an equivalent hitter prospect. I would think Kellenic (Mariners) or Waters (Braves) would need to come back to Detroit in order for them to be interested.

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