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Brewers & Dodgers & Rays

November 26, 2020

Brewers

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Busch Minors 2B 11.1 8.9 11.1 13.3
Peters Minors OF 2.4 1.9 2.4 2.9
Rios 26 Majors 1B Medium 5.0 11.8 5.8 6 4.8 6 7.2
Snell 27 Majors SP Very low 3.0 86.6 39.0 47.6 42.8 52.4 61.9
Wendle 30 Majors 3B 2B Medium 3.0 4.7 2.7 2 1.6 2 2.4

Dodgers

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Hader 26 Majors LHRP Very low 3.0 31.1 17.0 14.1 12.7 15.5 18.3

Rays

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Hiura 23 Majors 2B Very low 5.0 55.5 13.1 42.4 33.9 42.4 50.9
Lutz Minors OF 14.7 11.8 14.7 17.6
7 Comments
  1. Christian Vollbrecht

    Brewers fill 1B with Rios, move Urias to 2B, Wendle to 3B, and add another TOR arm to Woodruff/Burnes.

    Dodgers get their elite closer for blocked players.

    Rays get an cheap impact 2B and a lottery ticket OF in Lutz

    • M P

      Problem is, the Rays already have all star Brandon Lowe at 2B (signed through 26 – making only $2.5 million in 21) and have the #2 and #3 second base prospects in baseball. This trade doesn’t work for the Rays.

      • Larry Krueger

        I agree the Rays would not do this trade. In fact Hiura’s best position would be DH because he is a poor fielding 2B. Of course if DH comes to the NL then the Brewers may be hesitant to make this trade. Based on his 2019 season he has the potential to be a very good hitter. Any ideas how this might work for the Rays?

        • M P

          Spikes – I really can’t see it. It would be difficult for the Rays to add another poor fielding hitter to the team, as they already have Meadows and Tsutsugo for that role. Tsutsugo is on a guaranteed 1year/$7 million contract (which is big money to the Rays), so he won’t be going anywhere given his 2020 performance. The Rays hope that 2020 was an adjustment year for Tsutsugo, as it was his first taste of MLB pitching and other Int’l stars have needed a full year to adjust. Meadows is more of a conundrum for the Rays. He went from 4.0 fWAR in 2019 to -0.2 in 2020, with nothing specific to justify such a fall off. He’s never been good in the field, but when he is on offensively, he’s one of the best hitters in baseball. 2021 could be a prove-it year for him, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Rays traded him. Meadows brings nothing defensively to justify his roster spot if he can’t hit. That said, the biggest problem with adding Hiura for the Rays is the fact that 2021 will likely see the promotions of Taylor Walls, Vidal Brujan and Wander Franco. All of them can play 2B and play it well, and all of them are projected to hit well too. Combine them with B.Lowe and I just don’t see any reason to add a positionally challenged player who only projects to put up 102 wRC+ in 2021 (according to Steamer). The Rays like to use the DH position to rest players and platoon strong bats. It would go against the grain to sign someone specifically to play DH, although they made a run at Nelson Cruz a few years ago.

    • M P

      From the Rays’ perspective, Gyorko at his $4.5 million option would not have been ideal. He’s starting to slip defensively and his offense is good not great. Diaz is better and cheaper (still at league minimum), so that would be a step down. Suter of course is the reason for the trade, and he checks all the right boxes – 3 years of control; reasonable salary for 21; LHP (which is the only opening in the Rays’ pen for next year). The question for the Rays would be whether they are better with Diaz, who will be pushed by Franco from 3B to 1B by July, or whether adding another dominant reliever is the way to go. I’m probably more concerned than others that Diaz seemingly lost all the power he gained in 2019, and that he is basically just a walk/singles generating hitter. Still, he has relatively even splits, which is rare for Rays’ hitters, and he could rediscover the power he found in 2019.

      I would be inclined to trade Diaz for Suter straight-up, all things considered. Diaz is probably a fair bet to generate 1.5 – 2.5 fWAR each year, while relievers are notoriously volatile from year to year, so there’s risk for the Rays. Still, the Rays are going to sign a LHRP at some point this offseason and Diaz is going to lose his spot at 3B at some point in 2021. Might as well fill the reliever spot through trade. Brosseau and Walls can hold down 3B until Franco is called up. I think the Rays have higher hopes for Diaz than I do though, so they may be less inclined than I am to trade Diaz.

      • Larry Krueger

        Thanks for your response. If a Suter for Diaz trade would ever occur the Rays are also getting a great club house guy. He was the Brewers candidate for the Roberto Clemente award and he’s a comic and is well liked by everyone.

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