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Athletics & Red Sox

February 23, 2021

Athletics

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Chavis 25 Majors 1B 2B Medium 4.0 11.3 4.7 6.6 5.3 6.6 7.9
Decker Minors OF 2.6 2.1 2.6 3.1

Red Sox

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Deichmann Minors 1B OF 4.2 3.4 4.2 5
Perez Minors OF 3.3 2.6 3.3 4
7 Comments
  1. Erik Jager

    The Red Sox need a left-handed first base man. Chavis has more upside and may need a change of scenery.

    • Nathan Thompson

      Down vote.

      The reason Boston needs a 1B is because Chavis has the bat for 2B and the glove for 1B.

  2. Erik Jager

    Chavis had hitting numbers in the minors. He was rated 55 power and 55 hitting, so I that Grover, you are undervaluing his hitting potential.

    • Cameron Nordstrom

      AJ Reed had hitting numbers in the minors. He was rated 60 power and 60 hitting.
      Nomar Mazara had hitting numbers in the minors. He was rated 55 power and 60 hitting.
      Sam Travis had hitting numbers in the minors. He was rated 50 power and 60 hitting.

      What do each of these players have in common? I can confidently say that each of are borderline MLB caliber players. Only Mazara is still signed to an MLB deal, and that’s coming after an 64 OPS+ showing and having never being an above average, or even average, hitter throughout his career. Travis is on a minor league with Seattle and hasn’t been on an MLB field since 2019. And arguable the highest rated of the trio, Reed, never posted an OPS+ over 50 over 4 seasons and has since retired at the age of 26. While prospect evaluation methods have gotten increasing better in recent times, expecting a player to match those numbers to a T in the big leagues is foolish.

      To give context to Chavis, he looks to be vastly out of his element at the plate against MLB pitching. He ranks in the bottom 9 percentile in K%, 11th in BB%, 13th in xwOBA, 34th in xSLG, and 43th in Barrel %. Statistics are far from perfect but they can at least tell us that Chavis is struggling immensely. Add to this his defensive struggles and that he’s entering what should be the prime of his career, and I can understand Grover’s hesitance at the A’s acquiring Chavis.

      • Erik Jager

        Well written and good stats. Proscepts often don’t match their hype. You can’t guarantee that the A’s prospects are going to be successful either. This trade is relatively even.

        • Nathan Thompson

          I’m not saying the A’s prospects are guaranteed to make the Show. I’m just saying I don’t think Oakland should pay the price to find out if Chavis just needs a change of scenery to produce. They’re trying to contend in 2021 and they should focus on acquiring proven performers.

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