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Cubs & Rays

January 7, 2022

Cubs

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Glasnow 27 Majors SP Low 2.0 39.4 11.6 27.8 22.2 27.8 33.4
Kiermaier 31 Majors OF Medium 2.0 11.5 14.7 -3.2 -3.4 -2.8 -2.2
Walls 24 Majors SS Medium 6.0 24.7 7.8 16.9 13.5 16.9 20.3

Rays

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Alcantara Minors OF 13.2 10.6 13.2 15.8
Alzolay 26 Majors SP RHRP Medium 5.0 31.6 8.5 23.1 13.9 18.5 23.1
Wisdom 29 Majors 1B 3B Medium 5.0 12.1 2.0 10.1 8.1 10.1 12.1
1 Comment
  1. M P

    This trade assumes the Cubs want to compete in 2023 and not undergo a lengthy rebuild. Their signing of Stroman suggests that’s the case, but you never can tell. The inclusion of Alzolay in this trade isn’t ideal from the Cubs’ standpoint, but I think he’s the piece required to get the Rays to trade Glas. Adding Alzolay to the Rays’ rotation gives them a top 6 of Kluber, McClanny, Patino, Rasmussen, Alzolay and Baz, with Fleming, Yarbrough, Chirinos and Romero waiting in the wings (although, Yarbrough would probably be traded). Once Baz comes up, Rasmussen could be moved to the Pen where he was absolutely dominant in 2021, barring injury or ineffectiveness. The Rays also add Wisdom to play 3B. I’m not entirely sold on Wisdom’s breakout performance in 2021 being the real deal, but if the Rays are believers, this trade works for them as it solidifies the infield with B.Lowe at 2B, Franco at SS, Wisdom at 3B and Brujan as the super utility infielder. Wisdom played decent defense at the Hot Corner in 2021 and has a power bat with minimal splits. Just what I want for the Rays. Last but not least, Alcantara is the high upside prospect that the Rays will probably insist on in any Glas trade.

    For the Cubs, they sacrifice a high upside prospect who is years away, a young pitcher who hasn’t broken out yet and a 30 year old one-year wonder who the Cubs might be interested in trading while his value is high. In return, they get an elite defensive SS with 6 years of control (3 at prearb rates), an Ace pitcher with potential for a CYA season (who comes with draft pick compensation), and an elite defensive CF who turned in a 2.5 fWAR season last year and is under control for 2 more years (1 year deal with 1 year option). That would give the Cubs a top line rotation of Glas, Stroman and Hendricks in 2023 (and beyond if they choose to extend Glas) and elite level D up the middle. Best of all for the Cubs, they lock down 3 premium positions on the team for less than $20MM, which leaves them plenty of cash to go after any free agent they want.

    I don’t think the Cubs do this deal without receiving players who can contribute in 2022, thus the inclusion of KK and Walls, and I don’t think the Rays do this deal without helping both the 2022 club and receiving a high impact prospect for the future.

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