Now that we’re well into the 2025 season, it’s time to do our semi-annual check of our model’s correlation to the market this past offseason. Along the way, we’ll throw in a few observations in trade market trends. Let’s get to the results. By our count, for the 2024/25 offseason: Number of trades: 81 Number of trades accepted by our model: 77 Acceptance rate: 95.1% Average variance (in absolute value terms): 2.5 So there were 81 trades, of which 77 fell into...

As Opening Day approaches, the Blue Jays are one of the most intriguing teams in baseball. Their once-up-and-coming core is now set to reach free agency next winter, giving 2025 the distinct feel of a make-or-break season.  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette still offer plenty of firepower alongside free agent signee Anthony Santander, and a rotation featuring Kevin Gausman, Jose Berrios, Chris Bassitt and new acquisition Max Scherzer could be one of the best in the majors. Meanwhile,...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) discuss recent transactions, including the Cubs losing Justin Steele and the poor early returns on the Devin Williams/Nestor Cortes trade. Then, they break down the hottest and coldest hitters to start the season and how their values are changing in the model's latest update. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down extensions for Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Garrett Crochet, Ketel Marte and others. Then, they discuss some surprising early-season trades, the Braves' woes and much more. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down all of the trades, signings, extensions and other transactions leading up to Opening Day 2025. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...