The BTV Podcast #60: Ohtani's New Trade Value

We also talk about Aaron Judge’s potential contract value, some front office maneuverings, and which recent top prospects now look like busts.

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Former Top Prospects Who Now Look Like Busts

They were once on the top of prospect lists, but for the last two years or so, these young players have struggled so much that their trade values have cratered.

See the list

Got a trade proposal?

Imagine you’re the GM of your favorite team. Who are you trading this offseason? Use our popular trade simulator to figure out a fair deal.

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Ranking the Farm Systems by Trade Value

Which teams have the strongest farm systems? Which ones have the weakest? There may be a few surprises at the top and bottom, which we explain.

See the list

Projected Offseason Values Are Updated

Now that we’re past the 85% mark of the season, we’ve run the numbers again for all major leaguers. This gives us a more accurate sense of what their trade values might be at the end of the season, based on our model’s projections.

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Key Takeaways from the 2022 Deadline

How did our model do? And what trends did we see? We cover those questions, and offer some insight on Juan Soto and whether $/WAR is linear or if it follows an S-curve.

Read our analysis

Calculating values for major-leaguers

Calculating values for minor-leaguers

Applying our values to real-life trades

Recent Trades

See more trades

Athletics Get

Jameson

8.9

Nelson

18.3

Walston

13.4

Wiemer

13.6

54.20

54.00

-0.20

Brewers Get

Murphy

54

Rivera

8.1

62.10

61.50

-0.60

Diamondbacks Get

Ashby

40.7

Quero

7.2

47.90

48.70

0.80

54.20

54.00

-0.20

62.10

61.50

-0.60

47.90

48.70

0.80

59bw6f4

October 3, 2022

0

Angels Get

Jonatan Clase

Clase

2.4

Kaden Polcovich

Polcovich

1.3

Total Value: 3.70

Mariners Get

David Fletcher

Fletcher

1.7

Total Value: 1.70

Total Value: 3.70

Total Value: 1.70

dweb98

October 3, 2022

0

Featured Trades

Cubs Get

Kevin Parada

Parada

26.1

Total Value: 26.10

Mets Get

Justin Steele

Steele

24.9

Total Value: 24.90

Total Value: 26.10

Total Value: 24.90

dajuba

September 29, 2022

0

Blue Jays Get

Bryan Lavastida

Lavastida

3.7

Nick Sandlin

Sandlin

13.5

Total Value: 17.20

Guardians Get

Danny Jansen

Jansen

18.2

Total Value: 18.20

Total Value: 17.20

Total Value: 18.20

WestCasey

September 29, 2022

3
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The BTV Podcast, Episode 60: The Sho Goes On

by | 10/02/22 | 0 Comments

TradesPlayersWelcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down recent transactions and news, including the Shohei Ohtani, Luis Castillo...

Former Top Prospects Who Now Look Like Busts

by | 09/23/22 | 5 Comments

TradesPlayersYou may have noticed that some former top prospects have seen their values drop in our model – some dramatically so. Why is that? Because we’ve learned, by close observance of front offices (we watch what they do, not what they say),...

The BTV Podcast, Episode 59: Shoulders and Shifting

by | 09/18/22 | 0 Comments

TradesPlayersWelcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down recent transactions and news, including recent site updates, MLB rule...

Ranking the Farm Systems by Trade Value

by | 09/01/22 | 2 Comments

TradesPlayersWhich teams have the strongest farm systems? Which ones have the weakest? And how do our organizational rankings differ from, say, Baseball America or MLB Pipeline? First, our list represents a cross-section – a weighted average derived...

The BTV Podcast, Episode 57: Catching Our Breath

by | 08/07/22 | 0 Comments

TradesPlayersWelcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this solo episode, Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) provides a programming update and explains how the model performed for the 2022 deadline. Then, he breaks down the Juan...