Former Top Prospects Who Now Look Like Busts

They were once on the top of prospect lists, but for the last two years or so, these young players have struggled so much that their trade values have cratered.

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Projected Offseason Values Are Updated

Now that we’re past the 85% mark of the season, we’ve run the numbers again for all major leaguers. This gives us a more accurate sense of what their trade values might be at the end of the season, based on our model’s projections.

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The BTV Podcast #59: Possible Effects of the New MLB Rules on Trade Values

Could 2Bs regain some of their lost value when shifting is outlawed next year? Or will it not matter all that much? We discuss this, along with recent transaction news, in our latest podcast.

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Got a trade proposal?

Imagine you’re the GM of your favorite team. Who are you trading this offseason? Use our popular trade simulator to figure out a fair deal.

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Ranking the Farm Systems by Trade Value

Which teams have the strongest farm systems? Which ones have the weakest? There may be a few surprises at the top and bottom, which we explain.

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Key Takeaways from the 2022 Deadline

How did our model do? And what trends did we see? We cover those questions, and offer some insight on Juan Soto and whether $/WAR is linear or if it follows an S-curve.

Read our analysis

Calculating values for major-leaguers

Calculating values for minor-leaguers

Applying our values to real-life trades

Recent Trades

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Reds Get

Marco Gonzales

Gonzales

-12.6

Total Value: -12.60

Mariners Get

Andrew Abbott

Abbott

4.8

Mike Moustakas

Moustakas

-22

Cash

Cash

5

Total Value: -12.20

Total Value: -12.60

Total Value: -12.20

WrongVerb

September 30, 2022

0

Yankees Get

Alexander Canario

Canario

9.6

Seiya Suzuki

Suzuki

-27.9

Keegan Thompson

Thompson

1.1

Total Value: -17.20

Cubs Get

D.J. LeMahieu

LeMahieu

-17.1

Total Value: -17.10

Total Value: -17.20

Total Value: -17.10

Benjo

September 30, 2022

1

Featured Trades

Mariners Get

Gregory Soto

Soto

5.4

Total Value: 5.40

Tigers Get

Jarred Kelenic

Kelenic

5.6

Total Value: 5.60

Total Value: 5.40

Total Value: 5.60

Yesornot22

September 23, 2022

6

Cardinals Get

Nicky Lopez

Lopez

13.1

Michael A. Taylor

Taylor

0.6

Total Value: 13.70

Royals Get

Matthew Liberatore

Liberatore

13.5

Total Value: 13.50

Total Value: 13.70

Total Value: 13.50

Royalsfan84

September 22, 2022

1
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Former Top Prospects Who Now Look Like Busts

by | 09/23/22 | 5 Comments

TradesPlayersYou may have noticed that some former top prospects have seen their values drop in our model – some dramatically so. Why is that? Because we’ve learned, by close observance of front offices (we watch what they do, not what they say),...

The BTV Podcast, Episode 59: Shoulders and Shifting

by | 09/18/22 | 0 Comments

TradesPlayersWelcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down recent transactions and news, including recent site updates, MLB rule...

Ranking the Farm Systems by Trade Value

by | 09/01/22 | 2 Comments

TradesPlayersWhich teams have the strongest farm systems? Which ones have the weakest? And how do our organizational rankings differ from, say, Baseball America or MLB Pipeline? First, our list represents a cross-section – a weighted average derived...

The BTV Podcast, Episode 57: Catching Our Breath

by | 08/07/22 | 0 Comments

TradesPlayersWelcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this solo episode, Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) provides a programming update and explains how the model performed for the 2022 deadline. Then, he breaks down the Juan...

Key Takeaways from the 2022 Deadline

by | 08/04/22 | 8 Comments

TradesPlayersNow that another trade deadline is in the books, it's time for annual post-mortem, on both the market and our model. First, how did our model do? For this purpose, we’ll count all trades starting in June, through the Aug. 2 deadline....