johnbitzer

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Edwin Diaz. Jose Altuve. Rhys Hoskins. Gavin Lux. Brendan Rodgers. All are injured and out for significant portions of the 2023 season (in the cases of Diaz, Hoskins and Lux, it looks like the entire season), so their respective teams would be wise to test the trade market for replacement help. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ rotation has been decimated, at least temporarily. Luis Severino, Carlos Rodon, and Frankie Montas are all on the IL. Clarke Schmidt has gone from likely bullpen arm to...

johnbitzer

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grover contributed to this article. After riding their talented core of players to three straight postseasons, from 2018-2020, the Oakland A’s missed the playoffs in 2021, and the writing was on the wall. Most of their players were getting expensive and running low on years of control, and their farm had been decimated by trades to try to goose the MLB team to deeper runs in those years. It was clear to the baseball industry that a selloff was coming. And it came. In the offseason of...

johnbitzer

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Here at BTV, fans may be surprised when they see that Sean Murphy’s median trade value is $51.3M.  Why so high? We get that question a lot. We also see a lot of trade proposals on our site that disagree with it, and more on Twitter as well. Clearly there’s a disparity here between what the numbers say and what people think. So let’s figure out why that is. What the numbers say Murphy put up 5.1 fWAR in 2022, on one of the worst teams in baseball. That’s somewhere...

johnbitzer

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Editor’s note: We’ve had people ask us if we could look back at major trades in history and see how they matched up with our model. This is the second installment of this series. (See the first one.) Also note: Since this site (and our model) didn’t exist when these trades occurred, we may not have access to all the data we currently use, so some of the inputs are not as accurate as they would be today. But let’s try it anyway, just for fun. ----- On November 28. 2014,...

johnbitzer

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This winter, we believe the A’s will change direction. Instead of retaining pending free agents and arbitration-eligible players, they’ll acknowledge that they can’t afford them, and enter a rebuilding period. The team is in a very similar position to 2014. That year, they were all-in, only to lose a Wild Card game to the Royals, after which they traded away Josh Donaldson, Brandon Moss, Jeff Samardzija, and others. That rebuild took three years, and they then emerged with a...

johnbitzer

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After a brief hiatus, we'd like to welcome you back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@BitzerDigital) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_oak) discuss the recent Jorge Mateo trade, as well as a new Padres-Brewers Trade of the Week. Then, they go through the recent updates made to player values and dive into the shortened season and the unpredictable trade market that comes with it. The full episode is now available through the player below, or...

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