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Brewers & Red Sox

August 13, 2020

Brewers

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Bradley Jr. 30 Majors OF High 0.3 3.2 3.0 0.2 0 0.2 0.4
Workman 31 Majors RHRP Low 0.3 2.9 1.3 1.6 1.6 2 2.4
Cash Array 3

Red Sox

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Black 30 Majors RHRP Medium 4.3 5.5 4.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 1
Taylor Minors OF 1.8 1.5 1.8 2.1
5 Comments
  1. Sean Ricky-Bobby

    Brewers could really benefit from JBJs glove in the outfield and adding another weapon in the pen can help make up for some of the rotation’s short comings. Losing Lorenzo Cain has forced Avi to play CF which he doesn’t do well and creates a bit of a RF issue especially if Gamel’s bat goes back to being Gamel’s bat. Red Sox in this trade would be playing down the remainder of JBJs covid-contract which is about 3 mil.

    For the Red Sox they get an MLB ready bench OF and get to Ray’s 100 fastball and since they aren’t going to contend he can work on development in the majors which isn’t something the Brewers can afford to do.

    This also is the type of trade pieces I think will get moved this season. Young players with some actual MLB experience instead of prospects which carry a lot of scouting and development issues in this season.

    • John Bitzer

      Why the value gap? Wouldn’t the Red Sox want a bit more to even it out?

      • Sean Ricky-Bobby

        I have the cash incorrect would currently be 2 mil to eat all of JBJ’s salary and I’d assume this happens closer to the deadline which would only mean closer to a million to cover his salary and the more time that passes the lower Workman and JBJ’s value. I also think with out JBJs salary eaten he is a negative asset or at best neutral asset. So that would mean currently the trade is closer to 3.5/4 – 2.6 and in a week or so I think it would be closer to even. If the deal is for JBJ alone I’m not sure what any team would give up? I know the giants got a .5 – 40fv return for Hamilton at the time but his contract wasn’t as large and they were getting a larger portion of the season. If the Red Sox pay down the 2 mil or so it makes his value 2.2 on the site but I guess I think thats high I think if they pay down his contract his value is closer to .75 – 1. JBJ is a streaky hitter any club is running the risk they catch a cold streak and he is just a slower version of Billy Hamilton granted the upside of a extended carry your club hot streak exists that doesn’t for Hamilton. Brewers can use his glove and are showing this season they aren’t afraid to sub early and often so if JBJ is struggling he is still an upgrade over Mark Mathias.

        • John Bitzer

          Thanks, I get it. It’s true the values will change when we do the next major round of updates and the effect of time passing will change the value equations on guys with higher salaries.

          • Sean Ricky-Bobby

            I think it’s the rental guys that are going to be hardest to value. The 2019 Jake Diekman types might get a worse return in the systems eyes then in a typical year if traded at all and perhaps the higher end rentals go for a bit more then the system values them.

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