Brewers & Mariners




Brewers & Mariners

February 24, 2021


Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Gonzales 29 Majors SP Low 5.0 70.4 29.0 41.4 33.1 41.4 49.7
Seager 33 Majors 3B High 2.0 23.9 33.0 -9.1 -10.9 -9.1 -7.3


Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Ashby Minors LHP 8.9 7.1 8.9 10.7
Feliciano Minors C 9.6 7.7 9.6 11.5
Garcia Minors SS 6 4.8 6 7.2
Houser 28 Majors SP RHRP Medium 4.0 25.8 13.1 12.7 10.2 12.7 15.2
  1. Larry Krueger

    Having LHP Marco Gonzales as your #3 pitcher behind Woodruff and Burnes would be a step in the right direction to win the NL Central and have an excellent top 3 rotation if they make the playoffs. And, Gonzales has 5 years of control on a reasonable contract. The Brewer get about +68 points in adjusted field value for 2021 which is very tempting. Of course the Seager contract is the elephant in the room. The trade values currently show the Brewers getting a trade value of 32.30 and the Mariners at 37.20, a 4.9 point advantage for the Mariners. To make this trade I’m sure the Brewers would be asking for some financial help so if the Mariners would pay $10M to the Brewers in this trade then the values would be 42.3 for Milwaukee and still 37.20 for Seattle. That would take some of the sting out of the 2022 player option that Seager would have. Milwaukee gets a 5.1 advantage for being willing to take on Seager’s contract. I think the trade would have a better chance of being approved by Milwaukee but the Mariners would have to like the prospect return very much to accept that deal.

    • Tyler Dietz

      Very hard pass Marco Gonzales had one solid season in 2018 where he pitched in the 2nd most hitter friendly park, his k/9 rate is absurdly low at 7.32, he would be terrible in Miller Park he’s not worth an already solid starter plus top prospects, Kyle seager is far past his prime and awfully expensive you would have to send prospects with him to get rid of him and all you would get is a lottery ticket in single A for him terrible deal all together

      • Larry Krueger

        Tyler, you make some good points but I’d disagree with you on Gonzales having only one solid season. In 2019 he started 34 games and pitched 204 innings and a 3.4 WAR. In 2020 he started 11 games pitched 69 innings, had a 1.5 WAR, had a SO/W rate of 9.14 and didn’t even average 1 walk per 9 innings. I’m not sure how you can say those weren’t solid seasons. However with that said, I have taken a closer look on what the Brewers are giving up and I agree that is too much to give in this trade, even with $10M added to the Brewers in a trade. Thanks for your comment.

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