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Astros & Angels & Nationals

July 26, 2022

Astros

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Bell 29 Majors 1B High 0.4 9.4 4.2 5.3 4.2 5.3 6.4
Cavalli Minors RHP 27.4 21.9 27.4 32.9
House Minors 3B 19.2 15.4 19.2 23
Ohtani 27 Majors SP DH Very low 1.4 120.9 13.3 107.6 86.1 107.6 129.1
Rendon 32 Majors 3B Medium 4.4 32 166.9 -135 -162 -135 -108
Sandoval 25 Majors SP Low 4.4 61 25.8 35.2 28.2 35.2 42.2

Angels

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Castro 35 Majors C Medium 0.4 0.4 1 -0.7 -0.8 -0.7 -0.5
Garcia 25 Majors SP RHRP Medium 4.4 75.6 25.3 50.3 40.2 50.3 60.3
Odorizzi 32 Majors SP Low 1.4 4.2 11.4 -7.3 -8.7 -7.3 -5.8

Nationals

Name Age Level P1 P2 Availablility Years AFV Salary Surplus Low Median High
Brantley 35 Majors OF Low 0.4 8.8 6.6 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.6
Detmers 22 Majors SP Low 5.4 31.4 8.6 22.7 18.2 22.7 27.3
Gurriel 38 Majors 1B Medium 0.4 3.5 3.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Holmes Minors RHP OF 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.8
Meyers 26 Majors OF Low 5.4 23.2 7.2 15.9 12.7 15.9 19.1
Quijada 26 Majors LHRP Medium 4.4 21.4 8.6 12.8 10.2 12.8 15.3
3 Comments
  1. Charlie Baksht

    This was better before but the engine forced me to change it. I was so proud too but the Angels got mostly mid level prospects (Cavalli and House from the Nats and Urquidy + Meyers from the Astros) Which wasn’t “High Level” enough despite matching values.

    The Astros are definitely the primary benefactors here, replenishing their farm system, upgrading at LF (Alvarez slots in at LF while Ohtani plays DH), upgrading at 1B with Josh Bell, and upgrading at SP with Ohtani over Odorizzi, although taking a slight knock moving from Garcia to Sandoval. On the other hand, they lose half of their CF rotation and give up some solid, proven players with lengthy and relatively cheap team control. They are paying so much money that their profit margins will likely go into the negative until Rendon’s contract is up, but they should have such a formidable team that it provides long term benefits to brand value that help the ownership stomach the move.

    The Angels are at a turning point in the franchise, and realize they have to trade Ohtani as his team control, and therefore value, is rapidly declining. The cheap owners save a LOT of money with this move by offloading Rendon and get back a pitcher with several years of team control who can fill Ohtani’s shoes as a pitcher, if not as a batter.

    The Nationals get several young players with long team control, helping them retool for quicker rebuild timeline. From the Nationals perspective, this is contingent on them receiving mostly young players and already mostly developed prospects in their Juan Soto trade, and/or the new ownership lacking patience on their timeline to compete (As is often the case with new owners).

    Overall, I can’t see the Angels moving on from Ohtani because of how culturally significant he is, but it would be the most rational move for a franchise with no immediate path to contention to salvage some cash and retool for the future.

  2. Nicholas Bona

    I’m not sure what’s in it for the Nationals. There is no precedent for a rebuilding team trading their top two prospects (both are in the MLB Pipeline Top 50) and getting back two guys in their mid to late 30s.

    William Holmes isn’t in the Angels Top 30 and has played under 60 combined games since he was drafted in 2017. Quijada is decent, but a former waiver claim. Meyers had one good season in a hitter friendly AAA park and hasn’t done anything in the majors.

    Detmers would be a good get… but not good enough to give up your top two prospects and a guy you are counting on to score you a team’s Top 10 prospect.

  3. Bob Jones

    This is a really fun trade. No chance it gets considered irl, but I like it.

    *also, Angels fans would revolt if they lose Ohtani without getting a good prospect for superstar

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