Edwin Diaz. Jose Altuve. Rhys Hoskins. Gavin Lux. Brendan Rodgers. All are injured and out for significant portions of the 2023 season (in the cases of Diaz, Hoskins and Lux, it looks like the entire season), so their respective teams would be wise to test the trade market for replacement help. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ rotation has been decimated, at least temporarily. Luis Severino, Carlos Rodon, and Frankie Montas are all on the IL. Clarke Schmidt has gone from likely bullpen arm to...

The 2016 deadline trade of Aroldis Chapman is considered by many to be one of the most lopsided overpays in history. But was it? In this latest installment of our series on historic trades, we explore what they might have looked like using the model we have today. Note: Since this site (and our model) didn’t exist when these trades occurred, we may not have access to all the data we currently use, so some of the inputs are not as accurate as they would be today. But let’s try it...

Editor’s note: Welcome back to the Roster Revamp series. In each article, BTV Associate Editor Joshua Iversen will be completing a team’s offseason by compiling different user-submitted proposals from the site’s trade boards into a single plan. Any and all feedback is greatly appreciated. --- A.J. Preller has his work cut out for him in San Diego. The Padres were one of the most disappointing teams in baseball in 2021, finishing under .500 despite high-profile moves and a...

The 2017 Giancarlo Stanton trade is a bit of a paradox – one side looks like a big winner on field value, the other on surplus value. How, then, should we view it? In this, the fourth installment of our series on historic trades (in the first three, we looked at the Christian Yelich, Josh Donaldson and Chris Sale deals), we explore what they might have looked like using the model we have today. Note: Since this site (and our model) didn’t exist when these trades occurred, we may...

Yankee fans, brace yourselves: If you really want to improve your team, it’s going to hurt.  You have two choices: Blow through the luxury tax or trade your best prospects. Pick your poison. The problem Let’s start with the lineup. Realistically, if everyone is playing their proper positions, the Yankees have legitimate starters at only four positions: RF (Aaron Judge), 3B (Gio Urshela), 2B (DJ LeMahieu), and DH (Giancarlo Stanton). If you give Joey Gallo the benefit of the...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) discuss some puzzling Rockies transactions. Then, they explore the offseason outlooks for the recently eliminated Cardinals and Yankees, as well as an upcoming roster crunch in Cleveland. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:   Download link:...

In this episode, we dig into the numbers behind recent extensions for Yelich and Moncada, discuss the impact of injuries on trade value, and highlight the featured trade of the week, which sees a star and two other pieces traded for a prospect. If you have any questions or suggestions, email us at BaseballTradeValues@gmail.com or find us on Twitter, @BaseballValues! Listen in the player, click the link below to download or find us through your favorite podcast...

Amidst all the noise about big-ticket free agent signings, a few trades happened at the recent Winter Meetings as well. Let’s break them down: Rangers trade [baseball-trade-values-player-link player="8839"] to the White Sox for [baseball-trade-values-player-link player="9693"] Despite the obvious overpay, we’re going to take partial credit for calling the light return on this one. Our model had Mazara’s value at zero -- which means we see no surplus value --...

If you’re a GM, this is the list you don’t want to have your players on. According to our calculations, the following 50 players have the least amount of trade value right now – or, put another way, the most amount of negative value. These are not necessarily bad players; they’re players whose contracts are bigger than their projected field value. Not surprisingly, the common thread here is that most of them are older and past their prime. Only eight of these 50...